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LNG Shipping: High Supply Suppresses Rates as Trade Routes Shift

LNG shipping is undergoing major shifts since the start of 2024. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Intermodal said that “during Q1 of 2024, the LNG shipping market experienced major disruptions and shifts that significantly altered global trade routes and market fundamentals. The year commenced with logistical challenges, particularly highlighted by persistently low water levels in the Panama Canal, which constrained LNG transits. Compounding these challenges, LNG carrier movements through the Suez Canal have been completely halted since mid-January, necessitating a strategic redirection of shipments along alternative routes”.

According to Intermodal’s Research Analyst, Ms. Chara Georgousi, “the demand for LNG in Asia has remained robust, fueled by competitive pricing and strategic stock-building. This pronounced rise in demand within Asia stands in stark contrast to the more subdued scenario witnessed in Europe, where LNG imports have been significantly impacted by internal market dynamics and alternative energy sources. Specifically, NE Asia experienced a 4.02% increase in LNG imports during Q1 of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, with China notably leading this uptick with a 23.44% rise. SE Asia also saw a significant boost, with imports surging by…

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IBIA and BIMCO team up to collaborate on fuel and maritime challenges

IBIA – The International Bunker Industry Association and BIMCO have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to collaborate on some of the monumental challenges and opportunities within the areas of bunker, marine energy and maritime sectors and help facilitate shipping’s decarbonisation efforts.

The parties have agreed to leverage their respective expertise and resources to develop innovative solutions and initiatives to facilitate the transition towards cleaner fuels and efficient and sustainable shipping practices. The partnership MOU will focus on addressing the following key areas:

Research and Development: Collaborate on research initiatives, studies, and projects relevant to the bunker/marine energy industry and maritime sector.

Information Sharing: Share relevant information, publications, and data that may be beneficial to the members of both organisations.

Training and Education: Explore opportunities for joint training programs, seminars, and educational initiatives to enhance the knowledge and skills of professionals in the maritime and bunker/marine energy industry.

Influence: Work together on efforts to address common issues and challenges faced by the industry.

Commenting on the MoU, Alexander Prokopakis, Executive Director of IBIA, stated:

“This…

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New requirements for vessels with engine or shaft power limiters

New requirements will come into force from 29 April at the ports of Melbourne and Geelong for vessels equipped with a mechanical or software-based engine or shaft power limiter in accordance with IMO requirements.

As stated in the Ports Victoria Operational Instruction (OI) No.01-2024, the IMO has adopted measures under the MARPOL Convention requiring certain international ship types to take action to reduce their carbon intensity.

To comply with those requirements, some vessel operators have installed a mechanical or software-based engine or shaft power limiter. Some limiters may have the unintended consequence of degrading a vessel’s manoeuvrability at critical times when navigating in a confined waterway.

Risks associated with transiting the Fairway through Port Phillip Heads, South Channel and approaches to port of Geelong and Melbourne may demand access to the vessel’s full power capability.

The below requirements apply to any vessel intending to transit the port waters of the port of Melbourne and port of Geelong.

Engine power or shaft power limiter requirements:

  1. Any vessel equipped with a mechanical or software-based engine or shaft power limiter will disable the device prior to pilot boarding, or;
  2. Any vessel equipped with a mechanical or software-based engine…

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Crude Tanker Market Fundamentals Looking Healthy

The crude tanker market could be set for a positive future, as ton-mile demand is about to increase. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Gibson said that “earlier this month the IEA released its monthly oil report, offering for the first time their analysis of how oil markets could shape up in 2025. The agency expects global oil demand to grow by 1.1 mbd next year, just marginally below 1.2 mbd expected in 2024. Despite the accelerating uptake of clean energy technologies, projected growth in demand in 2025 is reasonably robust, in line with average growth rates seen since 2011. Demand growth will continue to be led by non-OECD countries; however, China’s share of total increase will decline significantly due to a rapid domestic uptake of electric vehicles and high-speed rail as the country’s post-lockdown rebound dwindles. China’s demand is projected to account for just 27% of non-OECD demand growth next year, compared to 43% in 2024 and 80% last year. Strong demand growth next year is also seen in India, other developing Asian economies and the Middle East. Total OECD demand will see just a marginal drop, with the decline in European consumption decelerating notably as economic conditions improve”.

Source: Gibson Shipbrokers

According to Gibson, “on the…

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Dry Bulk Market: Positive Week for Capesizes

Capesize

The Capesize market witnessed an eventful and generally positive week. Early in the week, a subdued start led to cautious attitudes among market participants, with slight declines in the BCI 5TC and C3 index. However, a notable turnaround occurred midweek, as sentiment improved markedly, particularly in the Pacific market. Increased coal demand from East Australia to China and weather conditions impacting operations in China drove a surge in rates. Throughout the week, all three major miners remained active in the Pacific, contributing to upward pressure on rates for both the BCI 5TC and C5 index. Stronger fixtures were reported, with rates reaching as high as $12.10 for C5, a $1.50 increase on the week. Activity in the South Atlantic, particularly from Brazil and West Africa to the Far East, also contributed to the positive momentum, with rates climbing steadily. With a slight tightening of the tonnage list in the Pacific towards the end of the week, sentiment remained buoyant, supported by ongoing demand and firm rates. By the end of the week, the BCI 5TC settled at $23,543, marking a significant improvement from the week’s start.

Panamax

Most of the excitement emanated from the Atlantic again last week. The continued lack of early tonnage in the North had a…

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Is the decline in global piracy over?

A global resurgence

Global piracy and armed robbery incidents increased by 4% in 2023 compared to 2022, according to the International Maritime Bureau’s Piracy Reporting Centre (IMB PRC). While this does not appear to be a substantial overall change, a closer look at the figures do reveal some alarming trends.

First and foremost, the resurgence of Somali pirate activity raises concern. The IMB PRC, in December 2023, reported the first successful hijacking of a vessel off the coast of Somalia since 2017. During the first three months of 2024, five more incidents, including two hijackings, were recorded in the Western Indian Ocean, all occurring at significant distances from the Somali coastline.

The IMB PRC’s latest reports also reveal that incidents in Gulf of Guinea waters increased in 2023 and continued to do so in the first quarter of 2024. After a fourfold decline in reported attacks between 2020 and 2022 in the region, this trend reversal serves as a prudent reminder that piracy and armed robbery remain a serious threat in Gulf of Guinea waters. Furthermore, the persistent threat of armed robbery in the Singapore Strait continues to be a major concern. Based on the latest reports from the Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating Piracy and Armed Robbery against…

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Triangle Pattern Trading: Identify Breakouts & Trends

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While technically neutral, the symmetrical triangle in forex often acts as a continuation pattern. This means the breakout is most likely to occur in the direction of the trend that preceded the triangle’s formation. If the market was in a strong uptrend before consolidating, the odds favor an upside breakout. I always wait for the market to show its hand with a confirmed breakout before committing to a trade. Because of its neutrality, volume confirmation is absolutely critical when trading a triangle pattern in forex of this type to avoid false moves, or “head fakes.” Successfully trading chart patterns requires more than just pattern recognition.

These patterns are continuation patterns, so traders usually wait for a price breakout or breakdown and enter a trade in the direction of the movement. However, we intentionally use the word “usually” because there will always be exceptions that break these rules due to the volatile nature of markets. Even the grouping of price patterns into different categories can sometimes become tenuous, as although triangles are usually continuation patterns – they can sometimes form reversal patterns as well. It always pays to keep a close eye on market movements that may impact open trades and to maintain a healthy risk appetite for your investments. Predicting prices ahead of time helps traders make more informed decisions on whether they should buy or sell an asset. Charts often start to form shapes such as triangles or head and shoulder patterns.

Filtering High-Probability Triangle Trades

Wedge patterns are sloping stock chart patterns that signal a continuation or a reversal. A bear flag is a continuation pattern that indicates a pause in a downtrend followed by a further decline. It forms after a sharp price drop, known as the flagpole, and is characterized by a rectangular shape where the price consolidates, moving slightly upward or sideways. Flag patterns are small rectangular continuation patterns that slope against the prevailing trend. A symmetrical triangle can signal either a continuation or a reversal, with converging trend lines indicating a period of consolidation. This pattern suggests that sellers are becoming more aggressive, pushing the price lower and eventually breaking through the support level.

  • Regardless of which pattern you’re trading, volume analysis plays a crucial role in confirmation.
  • The odds are higher when the pattern aligns with an existing trend or precedes a major event.
  • Psychologically, the triangle chart pattern is a visual story of uncertainty and anticipation.

The symmetrical triangle pattern is considered complete once the price breaks out of the triangle and closes beyond the trendline for at least two consecutive periods. A symmetrical triangle is characterized by two converging trendlines, one that slopes downward on the upper side and one upward on the lower side, creating a symmetrical triangular shape on the chart. The symmetrical triangle pattern reflects a period of market indecision, as neither buyers nor sellers are able to gain a clear advantage. Triangle patterns differ from wedge patterns in their shape and slope of trendlines. Triangle patterns feature converging trend lines forming a triangular shape with sides meeting at an apex, either symmetrical, ascending, or descending.

Triangles (Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending): Key Forex Trading Patterns Explained

During the formation of this pattern, the market is making lower lows and lower highs – alternatively. On the other hand, an acute triangle can have trendlines that descend or ascend towards their perfectly horizontal counterpart. During the consolidation, there should be five touches of support and resistance. We are committed to helping traders at all levels – from beginners to experienced professionals – make informed decisions through educational content, broker reviews, and trading guidance.

Identifying Triangle Patterns in Forex

  • The company continued to branch out into new markets in 1996, starting with a joint venture with NBC to create a new 24-hour cable news television station, MSNBC.
  • The upper triangle trendline represents supply zones where sellers emerge, while the lower trendline of the triangle indicates demand zones where buyers step in.
  • Trading the symmetrical triangle in forex requires more caution due to its neutral nature.
  • Microsoft began to expand its product line into computer networking and the World Wide Web.
  • The triangle chart pattern forms when the price consolidates between two converging trendlines.

Triangle patterns can be reliable in certain market conditions since their reliability varies depending on market volatility, trading volume, and the overall trend. Ascending triangles are reliable in bullish markets while descending triangles are reliable in bearish market conditions. Symmetrical triangles signal either a continuation or reversal, making them less reliable. To trade a triangle pattern using the conservative entry strategy, traders should wait for a pullback and retest of the breakout level before entering a position. The conservative entry approach involves monitoring price action after the breakout and waiting for the price to return to the previous support or resistance level.

When Is the Optimal Entry Point for an Ascending Triangle Breakout?

His deep expertise spans market analysis, risk management, and long-term position trading strategies. Through his content, he shares proven insights and practical guidance to help traders of all levels build confidence, sharpen their edge, and thrive in the Forex market. His mission is to grow a strong community of position traders committed to discipline, patience, and long-term success.You can learn more about Alan on his About Page. With careful analysis and a solid understanding of market direction, traders can leverage them to make successful trades. Position traders wait for the price to break out of the range to enter a trade, which allows them to take advantage of the Momentum that often follows these breakouts. Trading an Ascending Triangle, traders must wait for a breakout above the flat top Resistance line.

This means that neither the buyers nor the sellers are pushing the price far enough to make a clear trend. For example, three touches of the support line and two for the resistance line.

Triangle patterns are reliable when formed after a strong trend, with ascending triangles favoring bullish breakouts and descending triangles favoring bearish breakouts. Symmetrical triangles break in either direction, but the strength of the preceding trend often influences the breakout direction. An increase in volume as the price approaches the triangle pattern’s apex generally indicates a credible breakout. High volume confirms active participation from traders, while low volume may signal a lack of conviction, increasing the risk of false signals.

If the price quickly returns within the triangle, it may signal a false breakout. If the breakout is upwards, enter a long position; if it’s downwards, enter a short position. Measure the height of the triangle and apply it to the breakout point to set your target.

Many traders fall into the trap of anticipating the breakout too soon, only to be caught in choppy, range-bound action. Always let the pattern mature and confirm the breakout with strong volume before entering. The symmetrical triangle pattern is the most balanced and neutral of the three. When the breakout happens, it can go either way, and the move is often sharp. The psychology of the ascending triangle pattern is about persistent buying pressure. This is why the ascending triangle pattern is a favourite among traders forex triangle patterns searching for clear, confident breakouts after periods of price consolidation.

With practice and discipline, you’ll be better equipped to navigate the Forex market. If a triangle pattern forms outside of a prevailing trend, the likelihood of a breakout increases. Adjust your risk management due to the volatility around triangle patterns.

The power of support and resistance in shaping trading setups

A decisive candle close below this support, ideally accompanied by an expansion in volume, confirms the sellers have won the battle and that the downtrend is likely to resume. Conversely, the descending triangle forex pattern is the bearish counterpart. It features a flat, horizontal support line at the bottom and a falling resistance line at the top. This structure reveals a market where sellers are becoming progressively more aggressive. Each rally is met with selling pressure at a lower price point, forming a series of lower highs.

The triangle pattern’s apex suggests that the market has reached a critical point where a decisive move is imminent. The triangle pattern helps traders anticipate breakouts, predict future price movements, and refine their entry and exit strategies. Similar to other triangle patterns, it’s common to watch for a rise in trading volume during the breakdown, as it can confirm the strength of the move. It’s also possible to see false breakouts below the support level when the price closes back inside the pattern almost immediately. An ascending triangle is a bullish triangle pattern that’s often looked for when analysing potential price breakouts.

The measure move strategy uses the height of the triangle to estimate a target price for the breakout. It helps traders identify potential trading opportunities by projecting the magnitude of price movement based on the pattern’s size. These charts provide a view of support, resistance, momentum, and trend direction. Look for the triangle’s consolidation phase to occur within a trading range suggested by the cloud formations. Triangle patterns signal potential continuations or reversals of existing trends.

Gen AI Takes Center Stage at Windward’s Customer Event

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Sixteen leading customers attended Windward’s first Customer Advisory Board (CAB) event in London to discuss how Generative AI (Gen AI) is set to transform the maritime ecosystem, as well as other coming innovations.  

This collaborative event aimed to create a space for our leading customers to engage in fruitful discussions and provide valuable product feedback. It also provided a great opportunity for customers to network, share ideas, and learn about Windward’s road map and how coming functionality can help their business. 

Customers came from leading companies across various sectors – such as energy, maritime, P&I clubs, and commodity trading – highlighting the diverse interests engaged in shaping the future of maritime.

Agenda Highlights: Innovation at the Forefront

The full agenda Ami Daniel, CEO and Co-Founder, led a session on the transformative potential of generative AI for the maritime and trade sectors. Amir Israel, Vice President of Product, outlined the 2024 roadmap and product strategy, showcasing Windward’s forward-thinking approach to navigating the industry’s future challenges. Ariel Zibziner, Vice President of Business Services, introduced the customer service team, emphasizing Windward’s dedication to customer success.

An external…

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Windward Port Insights – March 2024

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Windward Port Insights – March 2024















Port Congestion Across the Globe

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Maritime Global Trade Roundup – March 29, 2024

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Here are the quick highlights and analysis you need from the week in maritime global trade, powered by Maritime AI™ insights.

The Aftermath of the Tragedy in Baltimore

Tragedy struck when a massive container ship, a Singaporean-flagged container vessel named Dali, lost power and demolished a Baltimore bridge. Six people are presumed dead in the accident. 

The accident has fueled major supply chain concerns, especially in the wake of the Panama Canal drought and ongoing Red Sea disruptions: the bridge spanned the entrance to the Port of Baltimore, the busiest U.S. port for car exports and the ninth-busiest for foreign cargo, according to the BBC. It is also the second biggest port for U.S. coal exports.

Speaking to the AP, Windward Co-Founder and CEO, Ami Daniel, noted other potential supply chain problems. In the Baltimore area, “if you’re in the construction business and you haven’t piled up enough steel because of (high) interest rates, then there’s a good chance you’re going to run out of steel…if you’re in the shipbuilding or construction business, it can slow down your project.” 

There has been a 50% increase in destination updates for vessels expected to arrive in Baltimore. Some of the new destinations include the ports of Norfolk and Savannah, and…

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